Report Summary July 23, 2010
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America at War
Can withdrawal from Afghanistan begin next July?
By Peter Katel

Americans' discontent over the war in Iraq helped propel Barack Obama into the White House. U.S. forces now are preparing to leave Iraq next year, but they may remain in Afghanistan longer than many Obama supporters had hoped. In recent weeks, heavy resistance has delayed anti-Taliban operations. At the same time, relations between the United States and Afghan President Hamid Karzai remain tense, partly. . . .

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The Issues


Pro/Con
Should the U.S. begin military withdrawal from Afghanistan next July?

Pro Pro
Sen. Carl Levin, D-Mich.
Chairman, Senate Armed Services Committee. From statement at Armed Services Committee hearing, June 29, 2010
Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz.
Ranking Member, Senate Armed Services Committee. From statement at Armed Services Committee hearing, June 29, 2010


Spotlight
Pakistani tribal area is key focus, but other targets are emerging.

U.S. airstrikes and other actions against Islamist terrorists have expanded to Yemen, Somalia and — above all — Pakistan in the nearly 10 years since the Afghanistan invasion. “We are disrupting Al Qaeda's operations in the tribal areas of Pakistan,” Central Intelligence Director Leon Panetta said in late June. Most, if not all, the airstrikes against jihadist leaders in Pakistan are by remotely piloted drone aircraft.Footnote 1

“Long War Journal,” a Web publication that has been tracking the drone campaign — and whose statistics are cited by The New York Times and other publications — counts 46 airstrikes this year, as of July 15, compared with 53 in all of 2009.Footnote 2

Some Afghan war critics see the drone-centered counterterror war as more efficient than a full-scale military campaign in Afghanistan. “Then if we spend I don't know how many more billions of dollars and how many more dead kids and wounded kids to drive [jihadists] out of [Afghanistan],” Rep. Roscoe Bartlett, R-Md., said in May, “they will go to Somalia and Yemen. It's quite clear that we cannot deny them sanctuary, so why is this not the ultimate exercise in futility?”Footnote 3

Defense Undersecretary Michèle Flournoy responded, “If you look at the totality of our campaign on both sides of the Afghan-Pakistan border and globally, we are having tremendous success in putting pressure on this network and disrupting their operations and denying their ability to launch spectacular attacks.”Footnote 4

In the most widely reported recent strike in Pakistan, a U.S. missile on May 30 killed the operations chief for Al Qaeda in Afghanistan, Al Qaeda acknowledged. “His death will only be a severe curse … upon the infidels,” the organization said in an online statement translated by the private SITE Intelligence Group, which monitors jihadist Internet traffic.Footnote 5

Pakistan's autonomous tribal area along the Afghanistan border — free of central government rule even before Pakistan became a nation in 1948 — is, so far, the major battleground of the U.S. campaign on jihadist sanctuaries. The region is Al-Qaeda's major hideout, the cradle of jihadism and a home of the Pashtun tribe, which lives on both sides of the border and supplies most Taliban leaders and members. In effect, the Pakistani tribal zone is virtually a part of the war in Afghanistan.

Jihadists planning attacks in the West have also gotten training in the tribal area. In June, Faisal Shahzad, an American citizen born and raised in Pakistan pleaded guilty to trying to explode a car bomb in Times Square; he said he'd gotten explosives training in his homeland.Footnote 6

“I consider myself a Mujahid, a Muslim soldier,” he said in an extraordinary explanation in open court. “The U.S. and NATO forces have attacked the Muslim lands. It's a war.” He added, “I am part of that. I am part of the answer of the U.S. terrorizing the Muslim nations and the Muslim people, and on behalf of that, I'm revenging the attacks.”Footnote 7

But the jihadist movement has taken root outside Pakistan as well. Over the Christmas holiday, Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab, a young Nigerian who had been living in Yemen, was arrested after trying to bring down an airliner on which he was flying to Detroit by igniting explosives in his underwear. He has pleaded not guilty to attempted use of a weapon of mass destruction, attempted murder on an airplane and other charges but has been cooperating with investigators.Footnote 8

Information that has surfaced from interrogations includes contacts between the failed bomber and Anwar al-Awlaki, a U.S.-born Yemeni Muslim cleric, now hiding out in his ancestral country. Al-Awlaki has confirmed that he had been in touch with Muhtallab and praised his attempted attack, though he denied playing an operational part in it. “I did not tell him to do this operation, but I support it,” al-Awlaki said.Footnote 9

CIA boss Panetta, when asked in a recent TV appearance if al-Awlaki was on an “assassination list,” said: “We don't have an assassination list, but I can tell you this — we have a terrorist list and he's on it.”Footnote 10

Beyond Awlaki, the United States has made strikes against other alleged jihadists in Yemen. Last December, a U.S. missile killed Fahd al-Quso, an Al Qaeda operative who had been wanted for allegedly taking part in the bombing of the USS Cole in the Yemeni port of Aden in 2000, killing 17 crew members.Footnote 11

Other strikes have also hit targets in Yemen, at least as far back in 2002, when a drone-fired missile killed six suspected Al Qaeda agents traveling in a vehicle. The main target was reported to be Qaed Sinan Harithi, said to be the chief organizer of the Cole attack.Footnote 12

Now the U.S.-jihadist war has moved beyond Afghanistan and the Middle East. Most recently, a jihadist group from Somalia with ties to Al Qaeda claimed responsibility for two bombings in Kampala, Uganda, that killed 76 people watching the final match of the World Cup soccer championship.

“I say to the Ugandan president what has happened in Kampala was only the beginning,” Sheik Muktar Abu Zubayr, leader of the group, known as al-Shabab, said in a recorded message sent to Ugandan radio stations. “We will keep revenging what your soldiers remorselessly did to our people.”Footnote 13

Ugandan military participation in an African Union peacekeeping force in Somalia might not seem to involve American interests. But the United States has been deeply involved in the Somali conflict and its jihadist connections. In March, Osama bin Laden urged supporters to “help the Somali mujahedin fight until Somalia is an Islamic state.”Footnote 14

In 2009, helicopter-borne U.S. commandos in Somalia killed Saleh Ali Saleh Nabhan, a Somali who was suspected of having taken part in the Al Qaeda bombing of two U.S. embassies in Tanzania and Kenya in 1991, in which more than 200 people were killed. Nabhan was killed in a vehicle with members of al-Shabab.Footnote 15

Significantly, the Shabab announced the recent Uganda attacks were carried out by the “Saleh Ali Nabhan Brigade.”Footnote 16

Moreover, the Somalia war has reached directly into U.S. households. In 2007–2008, about 20 Somali-Americans from an emigré community in Minneapolis went to Somalia to fight with al-Shabab, and at least half a dozen of them were killed in combat. Earlier in July, the FBI arrested two New Jersey men, Mohamed Mahmood Alessa, and Carlos Eduardo Almonte, who had planned to travel to Somalia to join the Somali jihadists.Footnote 17

“We need to work to deny sanctuaries to transnational threats,” says a veteran U.S. security official, speaking on condition he not be named. “It's a messy strategy, but it's the right strategy.”

— Peter Katel

[1] “‘This Week’ Transcript: Panetta,” ABC News, June 27, 2010, http://abcnews.go.com/ThisWeek/week-transcript-panetta/story?id=11025299.

Footnote:
1. “‘This Week’ Transcript: Panetta,” ABC News, June 27, 2010, http://abcnews.go.com/ThisWeek/week-transcript-panetta/story?id=11025299.

[2] Bill Roggio and Alexander Meyer, “Charting the data for US airstrikes in Pakistan, 2004–2010,” Long War Journal, www.longwarjournal.org/pakistan-strikes.php.

Footnote:
2. Bill Roggio and Alexander Meyer, “Charting the data for US airstrikes in Pakistan, 2004–2010,” Long War Journal, www.longwarjournal.org/pakistan-strikes.php.

[3] “House Armed Services Committee Holds Hearing on Developments in Afghanistan,” CQ Congressional Transcripts, May 5, 2010.

Footnote:
3. “House Armed Services Committee Holds Hearing on Developments in Afghanistan,” CQ Congressional Transcripts, May 5, 2010.

[4] Ibid.

Footnote:
4. Ibid.

[5] Quoted in Eric Schmitt, “Top Militant Killed by U.S. in Pakistan, Qaeda Says,” The New York Times, June 1, 2010, p. A12.

Footnote:
5. Quoted in Eric Schmitt, “Top Militant Killed by U.S. in Pakistan, Qaeda Says,” The New York Times, June 1, 2010, p. A12.

[6] Benjamin Weiser and Colin Moynihan, “Guilty Plea in Times Square Bomb Plot,” The New York Times, June 21, 2010, www.nytimes.com/2010/06/22/nyregion/22terror.html.

Footnote:
6. Benjamin Weiser and Colin Moynihan, “Guilty Plea in Times Square Bomb Plot,” The New York Times, June 21, 2010, www.nytimes.com/2010/06/22/nyregion/22terror.html.

[7] Quoted in Patricia Hurtado, “Times Square Bomb Suspect Shahzad Pleads Guilty in Revenge Plot,” Bloomberg Businessweek, June 22, 2010, www.businessweek.com/news/2010-06-22/times-square-bomb-suspect-shahzad-pleads-guilty-in-revenge-plot.html.

Footnote:
7. Quoted in Patricia Hurtado, “Times Square Bomb Suspect Shahzad Pleads Guilty in Revenge Plot,” Bloomberg Businessweek, June 22, 2010, www.businessweek.com/news/2010-06-22/times-square-bomb-suspect-shahzad-pleads-guilty-in-revenge-plot.html.

[8] Nick Bunkley and Liz Robbins, “Nigerian Arraigned in Bomb Attempt,” The New York Times, Jan. 8, 2010, www.nytimes.com/2010/01/09/us/09detroit.html?ref=umar_farouk_abdulmutallab; Jeff Zeleny and Charlie Savage, “Official Says Terrorism Suspect Is Cooperating,” The New York Times, Feb. 2, 2010, www.nytimes.com/2010/02/03/us/03terror.html?ref=umar_farouk_abdulmutallab.

Footnote:
8. Nick Bunkley and Liz Robbins, “Nigerian Arraigned in Bomb Attempt,” The New York Times, Jan. 8, 2010, www.nytimes.com/2010/01/09/us/09detroit.html?ref=umar_farouk_abdulmutallab; Jeff Zeleny and Charlie Savage, “Official Says Terrorism Suspect Is Cooperating,” The New York Times, Feb. 2, 2010, www.nytimes.com/2010/02/03/us/03terror.html?ref=umar_farouk_abdulmutallab.

[9] Quoted in Robert F. Wortyh, “Cleric in Yemen Admits Meeting Airliner Plot Suspect, Journalist Says,” The New York Times, Jan. 31, 2010, www.nytimes.com/2010/02/01/world/middleeast/01yemen.html?ref=umar_farouk_abdulmutallab.

Footnote:
9. Quoted in Robert F. Wortyh, “Cleric in Yemen Admits Meeting Airliner Plot Suspect, Journalist Says,” The New York Times, Jan. 31, 2010, www.nytimes.com/2010/02/01/world/middleeast/01yemen.html?ref=umar_farouk_abdulmutallab.

[10] “‘This Week’ transcript…,” op. cit.

Footnote:
10. “‘This Week’ transcript…,” op. cit.

[11] Robert F. Worth, “The Desert War,” The New York Times Magazine, July 11, 2010, p. 30; “USS Cole (DDG 67),” U.S. Navy Website, www.cole.navy.mil/site%20pages/history.aspx.

Footnote:
11. Robert F. Worth, “The Desert War,” The New York Times Magazine, July 11, 2010, p. 30; “USS Cole (DDG 67),” U.S. Navy Website, www.cole.navy.mil/site%20pages/history.aspx.

[12] Greg Miller, “From memo to missile: The CIA's hit list,” Los Angeles Times, Jan. 31, 2010, p. A1.

Footnote:
12. Greg Miller, “From memo to missile: The CIA's hit list,” Los Angeles Times, Jan. 31, 2010, p. A1.

[13] Quoted in Mohamed Olad Hassan, “Al-Shabab leader threatens more Uganda attacks, The Associated Press, July 15, 2010, http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20100715/ap_on_re_af/af_somalia.

Footnote:
13. Quoted in Mohamed Olad Hassan, “Al-Shabab leader threatens more Uganda attacks, The Associated Press, July 15, 2010, http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20100715/ap_on_re_af/af_somalia.

[14] Quoted in “Al Qaeda-linked militants threaten ‘new tide of terror,’” CNN, July 15, 2010, www.cnn.com/2010/WORLD/africa/07/15/somalia.uganda.threat/index.html?section=cnn_latest.

Footnote:
14. Quoted in “Al Qaeda-linked militants threaten ‘new tide of terror,’” CNN, July 15, 2010, www.cnn.com/2010/WORLD/africa/07/15/somalia.uganda.threat/index.html?section=cnn_latest.

[15] Jeffrey Gettleman and Eric Schmitt, “U.S> Kills Top Qaeda Militant in Southern Somalia,” The New York Times, Sept. 14, 2009, www.nytimes.com/2009/09/15/world/africa/15raid.html.

Footnote:
15. Jeffrey Gettleman and Eric Schmitt, “U.S> Kills Top Qaeda Militant in Southern Somalia,” The New York Times, Sept. 14, 2009, www.nytimes.com/2009/09/15/world/africa/15raid.html.

[16] Bill Roggio, “Uganda attack carried out by Shabab cell named after slain al Qaeda leader,” Long War Journal, July 15, 2010, www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2010/07/shabaab_cell_that_ca.php.

Footnote:
16. Bill Roggio, “Uganda attack carried out by Shabab cell named after slain al Qaeda leader,” Long War Journal, July 15, 2010, www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2010/07/shabaab_cell_that_ca.php.

[17] Eric Schmitt, “Islamic Extremist Group Recruits Americans for Civil War, Not Jihad,” The New York Times, June 6, 2010, www.nytimes.com/2010/06/07/nyregion/07shabaab.html.

Footnote:
17. Eric Schmitt, “Islamic Extremist Group Recruits Americans for Civil War, Not Jihad,” The New York Times, June 6, 2010, www.nytimes.com/2010/06/07/nyregion/07shabaab.html.


Document Citation
Katel, P. (2010, July 23). America at war. CQ Researcher, 20, 605-628. Retrieved from http://library.cqpress.com/cqresearcher/
Document ID: cqresrre2010072300
Document URL: http://library.cqpress.com/cqresearcher/cqresrre2010072300


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