Report Summary June 21, 2002
 Current Issue Cover Photo

Future of the Airline Industry
Will tighter security slow U.S. carriers' recovery?
By Brian Hansen

Airline passenger traffic fell a catastrophic 33.2 percent after Sept. 11. Carriers slashed services, furloughed workers and canceled orders for new planes, but they still lost an estimated $7.7 billion in 2001. The picture would have been worse without the government's $15 billion rescue package. Most aviation experts say the airlines were struggling before the terrorist attacks due to declines in. . . .

Read the Full Report (Subscription Required)
Buy Report PDF PDF


Pro/Con
Should airline pilots be allowed to carry firearms in the cockpit?

Pro Pro
Capt. Stephen Luckey
Chairman, National Flight Security Committee, Air Line Pilots Association. From testimony before the House Subcommittee on Aviation, May 2, 2002
Illinois Council Against Handgun Violence, Iowans for the Prevention of Gun Violence, Citizens for a Safer Minnesota Educational Fund, Ohio Coalition Against Gun Violence
From Public Comments on the FAA proposal to arm airline pilots or other in-flight personnel, Feb. 11, 2002


Spotlight

“Ladies and gentlemen, we request that you stay in the aircraft at all times!” Deliberately corny jokes from the pilots and flight attendants are standard on Southwest Airlines — and there's indeed something to laugh about.

United Airlines lost a staggering $2.1 billion in 2001. Delta dropped $1.2 billion. American Airlines, the nation's largest carrier, was $1.8 billion in red ink. In fact, every major U.S. airline tanked last year except one: Southwest.

The Dallas-based discount carrier posted a $511 million profit despite the downturn in the economy and the devastating financial repercussions of the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks. It was Southwest's 29th profitable year in a row — a track record unmatched by any other carrier. And while other airlines slashed their flight schedules and furloughed tens of thousands of employees after Sept. 11, Southwest kept its planes in the air and its workers on the payroll. Now, with passenger traffic and revenues still down, many experts say the “Southwest business model” may be the only way for the cash-strapped airline industry to survive.

“Southwest's model has made money in boom times and bust, through war and peace,” writes Joe Brancatelli, editor of JoeSentMe.com, a business travelers' Web site. “Going forward, who would invest in any airline that doesn't resemble Southwest?” Footnote 1

Indeed, many mainline carriers have launched subsidiaries based on Southwest's low-cost, no-frills model. Delta, for example, introduced Delta Express in 1996 to counter Southwest's growing market share in Florida. Air Canada, which lost $1.2 billion in 2001, this summer will launch its second low-fare subsidiary.

“We're kidding ourselves if we don't look at the [Southwest] model and, frankly, mimic it,” said Air Canada President Robert Milton. “There's absolutely no doubt at this stage that just shoving a mainline product at people is no longer what they want.” Footnote 2

About a dozen low-cost carriers operate in the United States. Some, like Delta Express, are operated by mainline carriers. Others, like JetBlue, are independent operations. While some have turned a profit in recent years, none has approached Southwest's success.

Southwest keeps costs down and profits up by serving plenty of peanuts — but no meals or movies. (Southwest Airlines)
Southwest keeps costs down and profits up by serving plenty of peanuts — but no meals or movies. (Southwest Airlines)

Southwest spearheaded the low-fare revolution in 1971, when it began offering flights between three Texas cities. Today, it is the nation's fourth-largest airline (in domestic customers carried), with some 2,800 daily flights between 58 cities in 30 states. Southwest alone provides 90 percent of all discount air travel in America — a remarkable accomplishment in the highly competitive airline industry.

“Southwest has trounced its competition in every possible financial metric — growth, profitability, financial health and shareholder returns,” said Pat Dorsey, director of stock analysis for Morningstar Inc., an investment advisory firm. Footnote 3

The reasons for Southwest's success are clear. The company focuses on short-haul flights with an average (one-way) trip length of 360 miles. That keeps Southwest's average one-way airfare at $83.99, making the company competitive not only against other airlines but also ground transportation. In the 1970s, Southwest charged as little as $13 for its Houston-Dallas route. When the airline launched service within Florida in 1996, fares were as low as $29.

Southwest keeps its costs down by not offering movies and meals. (But it doesn't scrimp on the peanuts — it handed out 91.7 million bags in 2001). In addition, the company uses a single type of aircraft — the Boeing 737 — to keep maintenance costs at a minimum. It further reduces operating expenses by using less-congested satellite airports, such as Love Field in Dallas and Midway Airport in Chicago. This makes for fewer gate delays and shorter taxi ground times, thus enabling the company to get more productivity out of its employees and airplanes.

Southwest's way of doing business is popular with the flying public. Passengers seem to enjoy the pilots' and flight attendants' casual attire and carefully scripted corny jokes — and even the occasional sing-alongs. The company has logged the lowest complaint rate of all major airlines for the last 11 consecutive years, according to the Department of Transportation.

“I don't want to say that everything is perfect with Southwest and the other low-cost carriers,” says John Rodgers, director of the Federal Aviation Administration's Office of Policy and Plans. “But they have certainly fared better than the industry as a whole.”

[1] Joe Brancatelli, “Burning Down the House,” JoeSentMe.com, Dec. 6, 2001.

Footnote:
1. Joe Brancatelli, “Burning Down the House,” JoeSentMe.com, Dec. 6, 2001.

[2] Quoted in “Milton: Full-Service Network Model is 'Broken,' ” Air Transport News Online, May 3, 2002.

Footnote:
2. Quoted in “Milton: Full-Service Network Model is 'Broken,' ” Air Transport News Online, May 3, 2002.

[3] Quoted in “Southwest Airlines Soars with Morningstar's CEO of the Year Award,” Morningstar.com, Jan. 4, 2002.

Footnote:
3. Quoted in “Southwest Airlines Soars with Morningstar's CEO of the Year Award,” Morningstar.com, Jan. 4, 2002.


Document Citation
Hansen, B. (2002, June 21). Future of the airline industry. CQ Researcher, 12, 545-568. Retrieved from http://library.cqpress.com/cqresearcher/
Document ID: cqresrre2002062100
Document URL: http://library.cqpress.com/cqresearcher/cqresrre2002062100


Issue Tracker for Related Reports
Air Transportation
Mar. 07, 2008  Future of the Airlines
Jun. 21, 2002  Future of the Airline Industry
Sep. 24, 1999  Airline Industry Problems
Oct. 08, 1993  Airline Safety
Oct. 24, 1986  Airline Deregulation
Oct. 19, 1984  Safety in the Air
Nov. 26, 1982  Troubled Air Transport Industry
Jun. 25, 1976  Air Safety
Mar. 21, 1975  Air-Fare Control
Jan. 27, 1971  Future of the Airlines
Sep. 10, 1969  Jumbo Jets: New Travel Era
Feb. 22, 1967  Airport Modernization
Mar. 18, 1964  Supersonic Transport Race
Feb. 07, 1962  Troubles of the Airlines
May 11, 1960  Prevention of Air Accidents
Sep. 17, 1958  Safety in the Air
May 23, 1956  Jet Age Problems
May 20, 1953  Safer Flying
Feb. 26, 1947  Air Safety
Jun. 08, 1944  Domestic Air Transportation
Apr. 08, 1944  International Air Transport
Mar. 02, 1939  Transatlantic Air Commerce
Jul. 14, 1927  Commercial Aeronautics
Jun. 20, 1925  Development of Commercial Air Navigation

Browse Related Topics
Air Transportation
Terrorism and Counterterrorism